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The control group, of course, had an incentive to report any new births since they would have their benefits increased, but why did their behavior change? It will take more research to answer that question but one explanation was pointed out by the University of Massachusetts’ Peter Rossi, by Rudolph Myers of New Jersey’s Department of Human Services and by other researchers at an American Enterprise Institute symposium at which I spoke last year. It is that the control group was bombarded by the same statewide (and, indeed, nationwide) publicity that surrounded introduction of New Jersey’s new program. Perhaps they feared, despite their caseworkers’ assurances, that they too would have their benefits limited later.

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